Pre-tourney Rankings
Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.8#17
Expected Predictive Rating+13.7#22
Pace64.8#232
Improvement+6.2#8

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#70
Improvement+0.8#127

Defense
Total Defense+9.7#6
Improvement+5.4#9
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 1.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 75.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round75.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen42.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight17.2% n/a n/a
Final Four7.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.8% n/a n/a
National Champion1.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 214   South Carolina Upstate W 76-59 96%     1 - 0 +11.1 +9.5 +4.0
  Nov 14, 2012 81   Santa Clara L 62-74 85%     1 - 1 -9.5 -10.9 +1.3
  Nov 19, 2012 95   Texas A&M W 70-49 80%     2 - 1 +25.9 +5.7 +21.8
  Nov 20, 2012 5   Kansas L 59-73 33%     2 - 2 +4.2 -0.4 +3.9
  Nov 24, 2012 161   Southern Illinois W 61-51 93%     3 - 2 +7.0 -2.8 +11.6
  Nov 28, 2012 77   @ Washington L 61-66 65%     3 - 3 +4.6 +1.5 +2.5
  Dec 02, 2012 66   Valparaiso W 62-49 81%     4 - 3 +17.3 -4.9 +23.4
  Dec 05, 2012 261   North Texas W 67-63 97%     5 - 3 -5.0 -6.3 +1.4
  Dec 15, 2012 334   Tennessee Martin W 73-51 99%     6 - 3 +4.6 -1.5 +8.4
  Dec 19, 2012 271   Eastern Illinois W 72-45 98%     7 - 3 +17.2 +8.5 +14.9
  Dec 22, 2012 207   Loyola Marymount W 65-44 95%     8 - 3 +15.5 -1.2 +19.1
  Dec 28, 2012 306   SIU Edwardsville W 68-41 98%     9 - 3 +14.3 -4.0 +20.4
  Dec 31, 2012 16   New Mexico W 60-46 62%     10 - 3 +24.6 -3.8 +28.9
  Jan 04, 2013 221   Savannah St. W 67-59 96%     11 - 3 +1.4 +6.2 -4.0
  Jan 10, 2013 78   Massachusetts W 70-62 85%     12 - 3 1 - 0 +10.8 +1.4 +9.9
  Jan 12, 2013 58   @ Temple L 54-64 58%     12 - 4 1 - 1 +1.6 -14.1 +15.5
  Jan 19, 2013 185   Rhode Island L 80-82 OT 94%     12 - 5 1 - 2 -6.2 +5.3 -11.5
  Jan 23, 2013 240   @ Duquesne W 73-64 91%     13 - 5 2 - 2 +7.7 -3.6 +11.0
  Jan 26, 2013 119   @ St. Bonaventure W 67-57 76%     14 - 5 3 - 2 +16.4 -7.4 +23.5
  Jan 31, 2013 44   Butler W 75-58 74%     15 - 5 4 - 2 +24.0 +1.7 +21.5
  Feb 02, 2013 67   Dayton W 81-52 82%     16 - 5 5 - 2 +33.2 +6.9 +26.3
  Feb 06, 2013 248   @ Fordham W 90-73 92%     17 - 5 6 - 2 +15.1 +23.0 -6.5
  Feb 09, 2013 82   @ Richmond W 56-46 68%     18 - 5 7 - 2 +19.0 -13.2 +32.5
  Feb 16, 2013 130   Charlotte W 76-58 91%     19 - 5 8 - 2 +17.2 +5.3 +12.0
  Feb 19, 2013 20   Virginia Commonwealth W 76-62 63%     20 - 5 9 - 2 +24.2 +23.3 +3.9
  Feb 22, 2013 44   @ Butler W 65-61 51%     21 - 5 10 - 2 +17.4 +4.1 +13.7
  Feb 27, 2013 75   Saint Joseph's W 70-53 83%     22 - 5 11 - 2 +20.5 +5.4 +16.9
  Mar 02, 2013 112   @ George Washington W 66-58 74%     23 - 5 12 - 2 +15.0 +1.5 +13.7
  Mar 06, 2013 76   @ Xavier L 66-77 OT 65%     23 - 6 12 - 3 -1.2 -6.5 +6.3
  Mar 09, 2013 55   La Salle W 78-54 78%     24 - 6 13 - 3 +29.7 +8.5 +21.6
  Mar 15, 2013 130   Charlotte W 72-55 85%     25 - 6 +19.4 +2.4 +17.0
  Mar 16, 2013 44   Butler W 67-56 64%     26 - 6 +21.2 +0.3 +21.2
  Mar 17, 2013 20   Virginia Commonwealth W 62-56 51%     27 - 6 +19.5 -3.1 +22.8
Projected Record 27.0 - 6.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.0 0.1 1.0 24.0 50.1 22.9 2.0 0.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 4.0 0.1 1.0 24.0 50.1 22.9 2.0 0.0